2009 4-Caster Frank's NFL Picks
Total No Spread: 176-90 .662
Total Spread: 128-138 .481
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Colts 34 Saints 24
No matter who wins this game they will become legends. If the Colts win they can be put into the argument as one of the best teams of the Super Bowl era, if the Saints win they will be eternally beloved in the crescent city.
Both teams have been at a high level all season except for stumbles in December as both started the season 13-0, with the Saints losing their final three games, while trying to win, while the Colts climbed to 14-0 and decided to put the horses in the barn for the playoffs. The Colts simply have not lost a game they have tried to win all season, as their only blemishes came with Curtis Painter playing in place of MVP Peyton Manning, while playing worse at Quarterback than Super Colts fan Ralph from Belleville. The Saints tried to beat the Cowboys and certainly did not want to blow a 17-0 lead against the Buccaneers.
The Colts also played better in the run to the Super Bowl, as they won a dull game against the Ravens and overcame early yips to smash the Jets in the AFC Championship Game. Meanwhile, the Colts who crushed the Cardinals were lucky to beat the Vikings. The Vikings outplayed the Saints and out gained them nearly 2-to-1, but the inability to hold on to the football allowed the Saints to win the game in overtime. The Colts don't have the same issues with turnovers, and if the Saints get manhandled like they did against the Vikings at home, the Colts will lap them in Super Bowl XLIV.
The bottom line is that both teams have great offenses, the Colts are slightly better, since Peyton Manning is now climbing out of the heap of the 21st century single callers and into the pantheon of all-time greats with Johnny Unitas, Joe Montana, and Slingin' Sammy Baugh. Drew Brees is a great Quarterback in his own right, but Peyton Manning is starting to chisel himself into the Mount Rushmore of all-time NFL players. The Saints do have good receivers but the Colts are just a notch better. The Saints have a better running game, but the Colts run defense is very strong and quite capable of shutting them down, and with the Saints needing to keep up with Manning and the Colts pace, it is unlikely the running game will be much of a factor. On defense the Colts may be hurt by the injury to Dwigh Freeney, but unless the Saints can score more than the Colts they will not win, and that is what will happen. The score will be high, and it will be close, but Peyton Manning will find a way to win it, and get the Super Bowl MVP.