Best NFL Prop Bets
The NFL 2022 season has come to a close, but eager football fans are already making predictions for the upcoming season. Betting sites like Caesars, BetMGM, and DraftKings already offer futures odds, though players can also find a small selection of NFL prop bet options.
Find the best prop bets NFL sportsbooks offer for teams and players in the offseason.
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Current NFL Props Bet Odds
This section will list a few of the best NFL props bets this week available at FanDuel.
| Bet | Odds |
| Matt Judon over 11.5 regular-season sacks | -102 |
| Patrick Mahomes to record 40+ regular season passing TDs | +115 |
| Lamar Jackson to score 10+ regular season rushing TDs | +250 |
Recommended NFL Props Bets This Week
Betting sites like FanDuel and DraftKings already provide a selection of the best prop bets NFL odds. Based on last season’s performances, these were our choices for the best NFL props bets.
| Best NFL Player Props This Week 2023/24 | ||
| Bet | Odds | Sportsbook |
| Patrick Mahomes to have the most regular-season passing yards | +450 | FanDuel |
| Josh Jacobs most rushing yards in the regular season | +1100 | FanDuel |
| Justin Fields – most regular season rushing yards by a quarterback | +170 | FanDuel |
| Justin Jefferson – most regular season total receiving yards | +650 | FanDuel |
NFL Props Bet Analysis
Our recommendations are based on:
Most Regular Season Passing Yards – Patrick Mahomes
The 2022 regular season and Super Bowl MVP is undoubtedly the top quarterback and player for the 2022 season. Not only is Mahomes among the favorites for the 2023/24 season MVP but he is also favored to dominate in individual stats such as most regular season passing yards.
Mahomes ended last season with 5250 rushing yards and, alongside Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow, are favored as the season leaders in this category.
Most Rushing Yards in the Regular Season – Josh Jacobs
FanDuel favors Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor and Nick Chubb with +750, followed by Tennessee Titans Derrick Henry with +900 odds for the most rushing yards in the regular season.
However, after analyzing some stats and reviewing the form of the top picks for this bet, we decided Las Vegas Raiders’ Josh Jacobs, with +1100 odds, would be the right pick. Jacobs ended the 2022 season with 1653 rushing yards, compared to the 861 for Jonathan Taylor.
Regular Season Rushing Yards by a Quarterback – Justin Fields
When it comes to rushing yards among quarterbacks, oddsmakers favor the Chicago Bears’ Justin Fields with +170 odds, followed by the Baltimore Ravens Lamar Jackson (+250), the Philadelphia Eagles’ Jalen Hurts (+400), and the Colts’ newly-drafted quarterback Anthony Richardson (+500).
We picked Fields due to his performance in the 2022 season, in which he finished with 1143 rushing yards and, as such, is the undisputed favorite in this category for the upcoming season.
Most Regular Season Total Receiving Yards – Justin Jefferson
Total regular season receiving yards is another popular NFL prop bet for which FanDuel and other sportsbooks provide odds. The Minnesota Vikings’ wide receiver Justin Jefferson is a favorite with +650 odds at FanDuel. Considering he ended last season with 1809 receiving yards – 100 more than the runner-up, Tyreek Hill – the odds are quite favorable.
Key Prop Bets Categories
Alongside off-season player props, betting sites also offer a narrow choice of team props.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets This Week
| Bet | Odds | Reason |
| Aaron Rodgers under 3875.5 regular season total passing yards | -112 | The 39-year-old Jets quarterback recorded over 4,000 passing yards in 2021, but that number dropped in 2022 (to 3695). Rodgers averages 3280 regular season passing yards. |
| Matt Judon over 11.5 total regular-season sacks | -102 | The Patriots’ linebacker recorded 12.5 sacks in 2021 and 15.5 in 2022. |
| Josh Allen over 4200.5 regular season passing yards | -112 | The Bills’ quarterback ended 2022 with 4,283 passing yards, and the season before, with 4,407. |
Best NFL Team Prop Bets This Week
| Bet | Odds | Reason |
| Kansas City Chiefs to not make the playoffs | +360 | The Chiefs can have an uphill battle making the 2023/24 finals with competing teams reinforcing their squads with top draft picks and signings. |
| Eagles to reach NFC Championship Game | +170 | The Eagles narrowly lost to the Chiefs in the 2022/23 Super Bowl and are likely to return to the new season hungrier than ever to repeat and top last season’s performance. |
| 49ers Last Remaining Undefeated team | +1000 | The 49ers have one of the strongest defense lines, allowing just 77.7 rushing yards per match in 2022. |
Best NFL Special Prop Bets This Week
| Bets | Odds | Reason |
| Cowboys to score 1+ TD in every regular season game | +135 | The Cowboys averaged over 3 touchdowns per game over the last 2 seasons. |
| Patrick Mahomes to score 5+ rushing touchdowns in the regular season | +150 | Mahomes averages 6 rushing touchdowns during the past 2 regular seasons. |
| Kansas City Chiefs to beat the Chargers On the Road and at Home in the Regular Season | +135 | The Chiefs have beaten their rivals, the Chargers, at home and away in 4 of the last 6 games. |
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