How Many Touchdowns Will CeeDee Lamb Score Nick Ballistreri

Hits: 69

Former Oklahoma Sooner CeeDee Lamb lit up the scene in College Football in his career. After a sophomore season in which Lamb had 1,158 yards and 11 touchdowns, he followed it up with an even better performance. As a junior, Lamb had 1,327 yards and 12 touchdowns, and declared for the 2020 NFL draft.


The former Sooner was considered a can’t-miss prospect, and there was even talk that he would be a Top-10 pick in the 2020 draft. After a relatively shocking fall down to the 17th pick, the Dallas Cowboys snagged up the phenom to add him to an offense that was already swimming in talent.


In nearly every offense in the NFL, CeeDee Lamb would walk in and be in contention for the #1 receiving role. In Dallas though, he has the luxury of playing next to Pro Bowler Amari Cooper and rising star Michael Gallup. He’s expected to play well, but how well could he play in an offense that is stacked like this? The oddsmakers seem to be leaning one way, as Lamb’s NFL odds to score over 4.5 touchdowns in 2020 is currently listed at -152.


Again, for any other team, the over would be considered a lock for a talent like Lamb. In Dallas, there’s plenty of mouths to feed, and that’s without taking into consideration that Ezekiel Elliott will be swallowing up plenty of touches. 


Lamb will be replacing Randall Cobb as the slot receiver in this offense. After signing a one-year deal a season ago, Cobb shined in his role. He caught 55 passes for 828 yards, but only had 3 touchdowns. Can Lamb improve on those numbers?


To me, the answer is a resounding yes. With all due respect to Randall Cobb, CeeDee Lamb is on a whole other spectrum talent-wise. And although Cobb put up solid numbers a year ago, he left plenty of meat on the bones with some key drops, and had plenty of big plays taken away due to penalties. You also have to account for the line into the mix here, being at -152 has to tell you that the guys who make NFL expert picks are betting the over here in mass. 


Call it unlucky that Cobb developed a case of the “dropsies” in his lone season, but Lamb did not have that problem in college. He caught almost everything thrown his way, and had a knack for breaking off big plays after the catch. To put into perspective how explosive he is, in his last two college games against Baylor and LSU, Lamb totalled 292 yards.


In training camp, there have been reports out of Dallas that Lamb looks every bit as talented as Cooper and Gallup, and that should make bettors feel confident in his ability to score 5 touchdowns this season. With a deep and talented offense, defenses will have to pick their poison, and Lamb may be the beneficiary. 


Although there isn’t much value behind this NFL over under of 4.5 touchdowns (-152), the over is the smart play here. Defenses won’t be able to give Lamb the respect he deserves with his talented teammates around him, and he will make them pay. Take Lamb’s over, and expect some huge things for the rookie in the Big D. 

If you are more a fantasy guy than a bettor then make sure to check out RotoQL’s NFL lineup optimizer where you can get dozens of winning DFS lineups for every week of the season.